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Posted by / 05-May-2019 15:36

In comparison, only 6 percent of married couples are in any kind of interracial household.

In fact, except in overwhelmingly Democratic neighborhoods (which tend to be African-American neighborhoods), close to half of households are not Democratic-only or Republican-only.

This is likely to contribute to a more tempered political climate in battleground areas than we might first expect. Accounting for a voter’s state, age, gender, race and party, we see huge effects of household composition on voter turnout.

Partisans married to like-partisans voted at much higher rates than partisans married to independents or to members of the opposite party.

The main reason for the dramatic relationship with age is that younger voters are more inclined to register as independents than older voters are. As the chart shows, while the proportion of Democratic-independent and Republican-independent pairs shrinks from the youngest couples to the oldest couples, the proportion of Democratic-Republican pairs actually doubles — i.e., the purple band becomes bigger.

Fourth, we looked at the neighborhoods where couples live.

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Using voter registration data, we can do this in three states, Florida, Louisiana and North Carolina, where public voter files list everyone by their party affiliation and their racial identity.